Hobbyist / Statistical Forecaster (AI Research Project) jobs in United States
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Weekday AI (YC W21) ยท 2 months ago

Hobbyist / Statistical Forecaster (AI Research Project)

Weekday AI is a leading AI research team seeking independent forecasters to enhance machine reasoning and predictive performance. The role involves generating structured forecasts across various domains and collaborating with a global network of forecasters.

Computer Software

Responsibilities

Generate structured, probability-based forecasts across domains such as economics, finance, geopolitics, and global trends
Document reasoning, assumptions, data sources, and statistical logic behind each forecast
Use models, heuristics, and analytical frameworks to inform predictions
Collaborate with a global network of forecasters and AI research contributors
Provide feedback on forecast prompts, evaluation criteria, and question design

Qualification

Statistical thinkingProbabilistic modelingUncertainty analysisCompetitive forecastingForecasting platformsAnalytical skillsIntellectual curiositySelf-motivatedWritten communication

Required

Generate structured, probability-based forecasts across domains such as economics, finance, geopolitics, and global trends
Document reasoning, assumptions, data sources, and statistical logic behind each forecast
Use models, heuristics, and analytical frameworks to inform predictions
Collaborate with a global network of forecasters and AI research contributors
Provide feedback on forecast prompts, evaluation criteria, and question design
Active forecaster on platforms such as Metaculus, Polymarket, Kalshi, Numerai, Kaggle, etc
Competitive forecasting record, leaderboard ranking, or documented tournament performance
Strong understanding of statistical thinking, probabilistic modeling, and uncertainty analysis
Ability to clearly express reasoning and methodologies in writing
Self-motivated, analytical, and intellectually curious

Company

Weekday AI (YC W21)

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We are a YC-backed recruitment startup. Find select jobs posted by premium YC as well as VC backed startups here. Hand-curated by Weekday team.

Funding

Current Stage
Early Stage
Company data provided by crunchbase