Superforecaster (AI Research Project) jobs in United States
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Weekday AI (YC W21) · 2 months ago

Superforecaster (AI Research Project)

Weekday AI is a leading AI research group seeking top-tier superforecasters to support a high-impact initiative aimed at strengthening AI systems' long-range prediction and reasoning abilities. The role involves generating calibrated, data-driven forecasts across various domains such as geopolitics, global markets, and macroeconomics.

Computer Software
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Responsibilities

Produce well-reasoned, probability-based forecasts on complex global questions
Clearly document thought process, assumptions, data sources, and methodologies
Engage in peer review and collaborative refinement of forecasts
Provide input on prompt design, scoring systems, and question resolution criteria
Assist in benchmarking and evaluating AI-generated forecasts against expert human performance

Qualification

Forecasting accuracyProbabilistic reasoningAnalytical skillsAffiliation with forecasting programWritten communicationIndependent work

Required

Produce well-reasoned, probability-based forecasts on complex global questions
Clearly document thought process, assumptions, data sources, and methodologies
Engage in peer review and collaborative refinement of forecasts
Provide input on prompt design, scoring systems, and question resolution criteria
Assist in benchmarking and evaluating AI-generated forecasts against expert human performance
Affiliation with a recognized forecasting program (e.g., Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative, International Institute of Forecasters)
Proven forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years
Experience participating in competitive or public forecasting tournaments
Strong analytical, probabilistic reasoning, and written communication skills
Ability to work independently in a structured, asynchronous environment

Company

Weekday AI (YC W21)

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We are a YC-backed recruitment startup. Find select jobs posted by premium YC as well as VC backed startups here. Hand-curated by Weekday team.

Funding

Current Stage
Early Stage
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