Prediction Markets Trader jobs in United States
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DRW · 1 day ago

Prediction Markets Trader

DRW is a major Chicago-based proprietary trading firm specializing in diversified, technology-driven market-making and quantitative trading. As a Prediction Markets Trader, you will develop and optimize trading strategies in binary event contracts while managing a live portfolio in a dynamic market environment.

ConsultingFinanceFinancial ServicesFinTechVenture Capital
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Comp. & Benefits
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H1B Sponsor Likelynote

Responsibilities

Monitor and trade active markets in real time across Polymarket (CLOB/Gamma/Subgraph APIs) and Kalshi (FIX/WebSocket/REST)
Execute strategies including: market making with dynamic skew, microstructure arbitrage (order-flow and book-imbalance sniping), cross-platform arb, news/event momentum (sub-second reaction), and statistical pairs/mean-reversion
Develop and backtest models using historical tick data, Bayesian probability updates, NLP sentiment parsing, and ML for fair-value estimation
Collaborate with engineering on low-latency infrastructure (API integrations, order engines, anomaly detection)

Qualification

PythonProbabilityStatisticsPrediction market platformsTime-series analysisBayesian methodsQuantitative modelingQuantitative reasoningGenuine interest in prediction marketsSelf-motivated

Required

Bachelor's or higher in Quantitative Finance, Statistics, Computer Science, Economics, Mathematics, or equivalent
Strong programming skills: Python (pandas, NumPy, backtesting)
Solid foundation in probability, statistics, time-series analysis, and Bayesian methods
Hands-on experience with prediction market platforms (Polymarket and/or Kalshi APIs) or closely related domains (options, binary events, sports/event betting)
Genuine, demonstrated interest in prediction markets — we expect you to be actively engaged with the space (personal trading, deep reading of protocols, following major resolutions, contributing to discussions, etc.). This is non-negotiable

Preferred

Prior profitable trading experience in prediction markets, options, or event-driven strategies (personal or professional)
Familiarity with blockchain/DeFi tools (ethers.js, Polygon RPC, USDC wallets)
Experience with low-latency systems, FIX protocol, or Web3 integrations
Track record of building and backtesting quantitative models with real historical data
Deep domain knowledge of high-impact events (politics, macroeconomics, climate, sports)

Benefits

Group medical, pharmacy, dental and vision insurance
401k (with discretionary employer match)
Short and long-term disability
Life and AD&D insurance
Health savings accounts
Flexible spending accounts

Company

DRW is a diversified trading firm that combines technology, research, and risk management to capture trading and investment opportunities.

H1B Sponsorship

DRW has a track record of offering H1B sponsorships. Please note that this does not guarantee sponsorship for this specific role. Below presents additional info for your reference. (Data Powered by US Department of Labor)
Distribution of Different Job Fields Receiving Sponsorship
Represents job field similar to this job
Trends of Total Sponsorships
2025 (36)
2024 (35)
2023 (24)
2022 (24)
2021 (12)
2020 (8)

Funding

Current Stage
Late Stage

Leadership Team

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James Radecki
Global Head of Business Development at Cumberland
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Company data provided by crunchbase